Jose likely to become a sprawling gale and surf generator No matter which model has the best handle on its track, Jose will probably evolve into a much different creature than it is now. Vertical wind shear will be relentless through Tuesday, capping Jose’s strength. Beyond Tuesday, Jose will be moving over SSTs below 26°C (79°F), which is too cool to support tropical development. This means Jose will begin to take on characteristics of a midlatitude (post-tropical) storm as the week progresses. A post-tropical Jose would have a weaker core wind field but a larger zone of gale-force winds, so coastlines from North Carolina to southern New England are in for a long period of rough surf and an increasing risk of beach erosion. If Jose were to make landfall, it could end up producing significant surge even as a post-tropical storm. Significant beach erosion is when all those goodies that are many feet out of reach of your detector are suddenly just below the surface. Happy hunting, East Coast Beach Pirates.